Possible scenario
Copycat State Momentum
20% Chance
Ohio's move encourages lawmakers in other states to revisit pandemic-era athletic eligibility. The result is a patchwork of state-level proposals, but the issue remains too small and localized to affect broad markets.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.