Contained Prosecution

The most likely outcome is that Lt. Col. Brandon Tyner is prosecuted as an individual espionage suspect, with prosecutors emphasizing a controlled sting and limited real-world compromise. U.S. Army counterintelligence, British authorities, and NATO security offices complete internal reviews without identifying a wider spy network.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.