Possible scenario
Regulatory Scrutiny Builds
25% Chance
The size of the seed round and the involvement of a Chinese AI leader draw attention from U.S. and European regulators. Scrutiny centers on data access, model provenance, export controls, and whether a former OpenAI research chief can transfer sensitive know-how into a DeepSeek-funded venture.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.