Possible scenario
Restart Holds Steady
45% Chance
ExxonMobil's Joliet refinery restart proceeds without major complications, easing the regional gasoline squeeze that followed the flash shutdown. Wholesale gasoline prices remain lower as traders price in restored Midwest supply and reduced outage risk.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.5%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.2%
Tickers
- MPC-0.7%
- -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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