Possible scenario
Competitive Market Broadens
18% Chance
Kalshi's valuation draws more capital and strategic attention into prediction markets. The category grows, but the market starts pricing in heavier competition from brokerages, crypto-native venues, and established exchanges.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.3%
- Technology +0.2%
Tickers
- HOOD+2.0%
- COIN+0.5%
- CME+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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