Possible scenario
Feud Deepens Publicly
27% Chance
Trump and his allies treat the leaked audio as disloyalty and respond with more criticism. This keeps the story alive, complicates Republican fundraising, and gives Talarico an argument that Paxton is weakened inside his own party.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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