Possible scenario
Compromise Delays Project
20% Chance
A face-saving compromise is plausible if DOJ, the National Park Service, and plaintiffs agree to a short pause for filings, environmental review clarification, or a revised construction schedule. Trump could still claim the overhaul is moving forward while the court receives the explanation it demanded.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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