Possible scenario
Open Science Gains
20% Chance
Meta's open-source strategy becomes the central narrative, building on the reported billion-plus AI downloads earlier in 2025. Researchers adopt the tools quickly, but commercial monetization remains indirect and dependent on partnerships, cloud usage, and reputational gains.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.3%
- Healthcare +0.1%
Tickers
- META+1.0%
- GOOG+0.4%
- MSFT+0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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