Possible scenario
Smith Rebuttal Holds
15% Chance
Smith's testimony and supporting documents undercut the abuse allegations and shift attention back to the factual basis of the original Trump indictments. The political fight continues, but the watchdog investigation loses momentum unless new evidence emerges.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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