Possible scenario
Storm Misses Platforms
30% Chance
A shift in the forecast cone or weakening from wind shear could spare the core offshore production corridor. Evacuated crews return quickly, and the weather premium in crude prices fades over the next one to two sessions.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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