AI Rout Extends

its chance, of the story’s futures

−3.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The most likely near-term outcome is a continued but not fully systemic selloff led by the same crowded AI and megacap technology positions that dominated the S&P 500. Hot CPI, 5% Treasury yields, and rapid de-risking keep volatility elevated into the next session.

What it moves

Technology−4.7%
Consumer Cyclicals−3.5%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

AI Rout Extends

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