Possible scenario
Decision Is Delayed
25% Chance
The WEF delays the chair appointment to complete internal consultations and reduce reputational risk after the Epstein-related resignation and Schwab investigation. Lagarde remains the leading candidate, but the delay signals that board consensus is not complete.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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