Possible scenario
Procedural Remand
15% Chance
The Court may choose a narrow procedural route, asking lower courts to address jurisdiction, standing, timing, or referendum-related questions more fully. This would keep uncertainty alive without immediately settling whether the 7R-1D map or a prior map governs 2026.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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