Possible scenario
Map Is Blocked
20% Chance
A less likely but plausible outcome is that the Supreme Court intervenes against the Eighth Circuit order and prevents immediate use of the 7R-1D map. That would preserve or revive a map closer to Missouri’s prior 6R-2D delegation, at least while state-law and referendum questions continue.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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