GOP Map Survives

The most likely outcome is that the U.S. Supreme Court declines to disturb the Eighth Circuit’s order, allowing Missouri’s Republican-backed 7R-1D congressional map to remain in place for the 2026 elections. The Court’s conservative majority and its election-timing doctrines make emergency relief against the reinstated map less likely absent a clear procedural defect.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.