Possible scenario
Democratic Split Persists
25% Chance
The Blue Dog endorsement is not enough to overcome opposition from climate-focused Democrats angered by offshore wind treatment and fossil-fuel provisions. Senate leadership avoids a losing floor vote or narrows the bill substantially.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.6%
- Utilities -0.4%
- Industrials -0.2%
Tickers
- KMI-1.1%
- WMB-1.1%
- PWR-0.8%
- -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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