Possible scenario
Produce Oversight Tightens
20% Chance
The dispute pushes regulators toward more inspections of Mexican leafy greens, even without a full import ban. This would be a narrow food-safety and logistics issue affecting produce supply chains, not a broad U.S.-Mexico trade shock.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals -0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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