Possible scenario
Democrats Block Deal
20% Chance
A bloc of Democrats refuses to advance the bill unless it contains firmer protections for offshore wind projects and federal lease reviews. The dispute mirrors the immediate obstacle in the current timeline and could deny leadership the votes needed for cloture.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.5%
- Utilities -0.3%
- Industrials -0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.1%
Tickers
- KMI-0.8%
- FCX+0.5%
- -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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