Possible scenario
Gun Issue Breakthrough
25% Chance
Gun violence becomes a late-cycle wedge issue, helped by prior national attention from the Trump shooting and recent mass shootings. The ad campaign materially raises Democratic turnout and strengthens the party's chances of retaking the House.
Tickers
- SWBI-1.8%
- RGR-1.8%
- POWW-0.8%
- SPWH-0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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