Possible scenario
Backlash Builds
20% Chance
The size of Musk’s political spending makes him a central campaign issue and deepens polarization around his companies. The key risk is not a broad market shock, but a sharper brand and regulatory overhang for Tesla, X and SpaceX.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- TSLA-1.0%
- +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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