Possible scenario
Demand Still Outruns Supply
25% Chance
Even with U.S.-made Tamirs entering the pipeline, Israeli operational demand could remain higher than near-term production. This would keep pressure on the U.S. defense industrial base and sustain demand for layered air-defense systems.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.7%
Tickers
- RTX+1.9%
- +0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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