Possible scenario
Courts Force Disclosure
20% Chance
Litigation by watchdog groups, media organizations, or former DOJ officials could become the key channel for accountability. Courts are likely to move more slowly than Congress, but preservation orders and document releases could keep the scandal alive.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.5%
- Technology -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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