Possible scenario
Juror Dispute Fades
20% Chance
Michael Desronvil's first statement emphasizing the victims may reduce the intensity of attention on the holdout juror himself. The bar complaint and juror-contact dispute remain a side issue unless regulators or the court find evidence of misconduct.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.