Possible scenario
China Price War Worsens
28% Chance
The delivery decline proves to be part of a broader intensification of the China EV price war led by domestic automakers. Volkswagen, Porsche, BMW, and Mercedes-Benz face lower volumes, weaker mix, and greater pressure to defend share with discounts.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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