Possible scenario
Growth Undershoots Forecast
24% Chance
The EIA forecast proves slightly optimistic as public shale producers defend free cash flow and limit rig additions. Output still remains historically high, but activity levels fall short of what is needed for a clean move to 14.26 million bpd.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.3%
- Industrials +0.1%
Tickers
- SLB-0.6%
- KMI+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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