Possible scenario
Greek Block Holds
35% Chance
Greece maintains its refusal to release roughly 200 Patriot interceptors, arguing that Turkish and regional risks require keeping national air-defense stocks intact. Washington and NATO continue diplomatic pressure, but Athens offers only non-lethal support and training assistance.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.5%
Tickers
- RTX+1.0%
- LMT+0.5%
- NOC+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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