Possible scenario
Democrats Stay Invested
27% Chance
National Democrats conclude that the fabricated poll was not the only reason to test Mississippi. Obama’s endorsement, Colom’s fundraising, and Hyde-Smith’s vulnerabilities keep the state on the outer edge of the Senate map.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.