Possible scenario
Controlled Pilot Adoption
42% Chance
The Defense Department keeps the Military Cadet Core as a narrow pilot rather than a wholesale replacement for ROTC. Hegseth claims a cultural win, while participating universities use the program to secure federal preference without fully restructuring their civilian academic governance.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.2%
- Industrials +0.1%
- Business Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.