Possible scenario
Bipartisan Ethics Uptake
35% Chance
The pledge gains traction because the $260 billion fraud figure gives both parties an incentive to appear tough on waste. Congress does not immediately pass a sweeping law, but public officials, agency heads, and candidates begin adopting disclosure and certification language.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.5%
- Technology +0.3%
- Finance +0.1%
Tickers
- PLTR+2.7%
- BAH+1.3%
- LDOS+0.6%
- +0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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