Possible scenario
Demand Softens Again
25% Chance
The Q3 beat is partly pulled forward by buyers acting before the EV tax credit expiration and the initial R2 launch window. As October and November order data normalize, investors refocus on affordability, financing costs, and the need for discounts.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.3%
Tickers
- RIVN-4.8%
- LCID-2.0%
- TSLA-0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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