Possible scenario
Turkey Pivots Elsewhere
20% Chance
If the S-400 issue remains politically impossible to solve, Ankara prioritizes non-F-35 options. Turkey leans harder on F-16 modernization, Eurofighter Typhoon talks, and the domestic KAAN fighter program to preserve airpower plans.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.2%
Tickers
- GE+0.2%
- RTX+0.2%
- LMT-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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