Extended Commerce Reprieve
+0.2%
Commerce keeps the review open and demands more intelligence, compliance, or supply-chain evidence before acting. This outcome is plausible because the current delay indicates Commerce is not yet prepared to absorb the commercial and diplomatic costs of an Entity List designation.
What it moves
- Technology+0.5%
- Business Services+0.1%
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.