Possible scenario
Central Bank Tightens
15% Chance
The Central Bank of Russia allows the crypto derivatives market to exist but quickly narrows its risk profile. Officials remain concerned about household speculation, leverage and the use of crypto contracts to bypass capital controls.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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