Possible scenario
Narrow Ethics Ban
38% Chance
Congress treats Davis's proposal as a targeted ethics fix rather than a referendum on election prediction markets. Because it bars candidates from trading their own races while leaving ordinary users and platforms largely untouched, it is the path with the broadest bipartisan appeal.
Tickers
- IBKR+0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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