Possible scenario
Race Stays Toss-Up
23% Chance
The most practical campaign implication is that NC-1 remains a pure toss-up, with neither Davis nor Buckhout able to build a durable lead. Both parties continue treating the district as a potentially decisive House seat.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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