Possible scenario
Buckhout Momentum Holds
35% Chance
The new 43-42 Buckhout lead proves to be an early sign of Republican consolidation in North Carolina's 1st District rather than a one-off result. Because the district was carried by Donald Trump and prior Davis leads were narrow, small GOP gains among rural and unaffiliated voters could keep Laurie Buckhout slightly ahead.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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