Possible scenario
AI Capex Doubts Deepen
30% Chance
The market increasingly links Anthropic's growth slowdown and investor pushback on AI infrastructure spending to future order risk. TSMC's new 3nm fab is interpreted as adding capacity just as investors question whether hyperscaler AI spending can keep accelerating.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.1%
Tickers
- TSM-4.0%
- NVDA-2.7%
- AMD-1.8%
- AVGO-1.4%
- AMAT-0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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