Possible scenario
James Stays On
44% Chance
The most likely outcome is that Letitia James remains special prosecutor because courts generally require a concrete conflict, not just political history with Donald Trump. Hochul can argue that James's prior civil fraud case against Trump is unrelated to the Cornell rape investigation.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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