Possible scenario
Regional Rainfall Spreads
20% Chance
Rachel stalls or sends additional rain bands across coastal Southern California, widening the disruption beyond Newport Beach. This produces more transportation, mudslide, and urban-flood risk, though still below a national macro shock.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.5%
- Finance -0.3%
- Utilities -0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.2%
- Industrials -0.1%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Tickers
- -2.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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