Possible scenario
Limited Market Reaction
27% Chance
Investors view Cook's comments as risk management rather than a near-term policy signal. Because Williams and Cook had already warned about AI-linked inflation, the incremental market effect is modest.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.3%
- Business Services -0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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