Possible scenario
Financing Bottlenecks Dominate
20% Chance
The 150 GW target is announced or heavily signaled, but implementation slows because state distribution companies remain financially weak and global capital markets restrict coal exposure. Public-sector lenders support only the strongest projects, limiting the immediate investment cycle.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.2%
- Utilities -0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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