Possible scenario
Jackson Lead Holds
42% Chance
Troy Jackson converts the post-debate polling move into a durable lead over Susan Collins. The debate narrative focuses more on Collins losing ground than on the moderator’s accusation against Jackson, allowing Democrats to frame the race around change and turnout.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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