Possible scenario
Localized Kenyan Containment
45% Chance
Kenya's Ministry of Health, WHO and Africa CDC contain most transmission to known contacts of the first fatal case and affected health workers. The case count rises modestly as quarantined contacts are tested, but no sustained community transmission is confirmed outside a few counties.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.1%
Tickers
- MRK+0.2%
- DHR+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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