Possible scenario
Plea Deal Reached
25% Chance
A negotiated resolution remains plausible because both sides face uncertainty after a mistrial and a highly emotional retrial. Prosecutors could secure accountability without exposing the children’s family and witnesses to another full proceeding, while the defense limits sentencing risk.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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