Possible scenario
Major Hurricane Hit
20% Chance
Warm Gulf waters and favorable wind shear allow Isaias to intensify before landfall. A stronger storm creates a larger threat to refineries, LNG terminals, offshore platforms, and coastal utilities, producing a more material but still weather-specific market reaction.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -3.2%
- Energy -1.2%
- Finance -0.7%
Tickers
- -2.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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