Scenario description
Assume that by 2027-03-31 EU institutions have adopted, enacted, or put into force a faster legal instrument enabling accelerated blocking, restriction, suspension, or exclusion of products, companies, or firms from the EU single market in response to systemic trade distortions, but no first company-, firm-, or product-level exclusion or restriction has taken legal effect under that instrument by the cutoff. The instrument’s actual approval threshold, scope, sector coverage, exemptions, and procedural timetable are those in the final EU act; no specific tariff rate, import volume, or targeted country exposure is assumed unless stated in that act.