Possible scenario
Wider Match-Fixing Probe
25% Chance
The case expands beyond Gundogdu and the four officials into allegations involving referee assignments, betting links, or match manipulation. This would be the most damaging path for Turkish football credibility and could affect listed club shares if fixture integrity is questioned.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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