Possible scenario
Legal Backlash Builds
18% Chance
Defense lawyers challenge the detentions and argue that the case is being handled through public pressure rather than evidence. The Turkish Football Federation remains under scrutiny, but the immediate impact is legal and reputational rather than commercial.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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