Possible scenario
Asia Diversification Continues
18% Chance
Canada continues to prioritize export diversification even while maximizing near-term U.S. shipments. The fast-tracked Pacific Link pipeline gives Ottawa leverage in talks with Washington and a path to reduce long-term dependence on U.S. buyers.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.4%
Tickers
- SU+1.1%
- CNQ+1.0%
- +0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.