Possible scenario
Confession Fully Suppressed
20% Chance
The court rules that the confession cannot be used, likely due to Miranda violations, coercion, or improper interrogation after invocation of counsel. This materially weakens the prosecution, though the government may still proceed if it has strong forensic or circumstantial evidence.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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